PNR MODELS
Our models, with their track records
Every number here comes from a back-test with its sample size. Where a model failed its test, the page says so.
Soccer8 of 8
leagues where the match model beats the base rate, 6,236 matches back-tested
96 matches on the board →NFL8.1%lower log loss than the base rate for anytime touchdowns, 5,677 player-games
15 games on the board →MLB43,7212025 starts back-tested by the home-run model, which beat the league-rate baseline
Track record →